Alternative Futures for Transportation and Land Use – Integrated Models
نویسنده
چکیده
Since completing a " Trend-Delphi " based regional forecast and transportation plan in 1996, Metro has developed an integrated transportation and land use model (Metroscope). We are presently using the model to explore several regional growth management options as well as produce a new regional forecast and transportation plan. Comparing our Metroscope results to our previous forecast reveals that Integrated Transportation and Land Use Models may produce different results in regard to Trip Length, VKT, traffic congestion levels, mode and route choice, employment and household locations. Compared to trend models, integrated models robustly respond to alternative land regulation and transportation investment policy options allowing planners and officials an opportunity to evaluate the differences in land use and transportation arising from different policy choices. Moreover, the integrated models produce far more data on such factors as real estate prices, tenure choice, residential and nonresidential real estate output, land consumption, redevelopment and density.
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